Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001106 0.001253 0.001401 0.001559 0.001724 0.001890 0.002069
2025-11-23 0.000882 0.001094 0.001314 0.001556 0.001813 0.002077 0.002367
2025-11-30 0.000750 0.001014 0.001296 0.001613 0.001956 0.002313 0.002709
2025-12-07 0.000598 0.000898 0.001227 0.001606 0.002022 0.002462 0.002954
2025-12-14 0.000454 0.000775 0.001140 0.001570 0.002051 0.002565 0.003146
2025-12-21 0.000372 0.000714 0.001117 0.001601 0.002149 0.002738 0.003410
2025-12-28 0.000271 0.000618 0.001045 0.001570 0.002172 0.002827 0.003579
2026-01-04 0.000203 0.000556 0.001008 0.001575 0.002233 0.002954 0.003786
2026-01-11 0.000139 0.000488 0.000958 0.001559 0.002267 0.003048 0.003955
2026-01-18 0.000089 0.000429 0.000914 0.001548 0.002304 0.003143 0.004122
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000344 0.000829 0.001483 0.002274 0.003160 0.004200
2026-02-01 0.000013 0.000302 0.000799 0.001483 0.002318 0.003260 0.004369
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000246 0.000755 0.001480 0.002379 0.003400 0.004608
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000196 0.000715 0.001481 0.002444 0.003546 0.004858
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000176 0.000719 0.001539 0.002579 0.003774 0.005199
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000131 0.000677 0.001534 0.002635 0.003910 0.005437
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000084 0.000617 0.001500 0.002654 0.004001 0.005624
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000064 0.000605 0.001530 0.002752 0.004184 0.005912
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000033 0.000553 0.001500 0.002771 0.004273 0.006093
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000016 0.000526 0.001505 0.002834 0.004411 0.006329
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000003 0.000488 0.001490 0.002869 0.004516 0.006525
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000455 0.001480 0.002909 0.004624 0.006724
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000390 0.001415 0.002876 0.004645 0.006820